> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://101.warmersun.com/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://101.warmersun.com/introduction/moores-law.md).

# Moore's Law

!\[Gordon Earle Moore (born January 3, 1929) is an American businessman, engineer, and the co-founder and chairman emeritus of Intel Corporation.]\(<https://s3.amazonaws.com/img.courses.warmersun.com/progressandpredictions/gordon> moore.png)

In 1965 Gordon Moore posited a doubling every year in the number of components per integrated circuit, and projected this rate of growth would continue for at least another decade.

<img src="https://s3.amazonaws.com/img.courses.warmersun.com/progressandpredictions/exponentialgraph.png" alt="" data-size="original"> Moore's Law is exponential

[🔗 https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/transistors-per-microprocessor](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/transistors-per-microprocessor)

<figure><img src="https://s3.amazonaws.com/img.courses.warmersun.com/progressandpredictions/Transistor-Count-over-time.png" alt=""><figcaption></figcaption></figure>

Ray Kurzweil extended it by looking back historically

![](https://s3.amazonaws.com/img.courses.warmersun.com/progressandpredictions/exp1chart.png)

and predicted it will continue, going forward

![](https://s3.amazonaws.com/img.courses.warmersun.com/progressandpredictions/graphMoore.png)

Kurzweil's predictions were made decades ago so by now he has an excellent [track record](https://www.kurzweilai.net/how-my-predictions-are-faring-an-update-by-ray-kurzweil).

![](https://s3.amazonaws.com/img.courses.warmersun.com/progressandpredictions/multipleexp.png) extending Moorle's Law in time and scope

Kurzweil also extended Moore's Law in scope: it's not just about computers but abut every technology that becomes "information enabled".

## Some Charts of Technological Change

[🔗 Computational capacity of the fastest supercomputers](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/supercomputer-power-flops)

[🔗 Computation used to train notable artificial intelligence systems](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/ai-training-computation)

[🔗 Historical cost of computer memory and storage](https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/historical-cost-of-computer-memory-and-storage?country=~OWID_WRL)